US states by natural change, July to June

Texas had the highest natural change, July to June of 51 states in 2021, at 94,381. Florida had the lowest, at -42,010. The median was -54 and the figure for the United States was 146,036. Source: the U.S. Census Bureau.

Highest94,381Texas

Lowest-42,010Florida

Median-5451 states

United States146,036History

All states, 2021

persons. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Full ranking

Rank	States	2021 persons	Change on 2020
1	Texas Estimated	94,381	-40%
2	California Estimated	67,737	-52.7%
3	New York Estimated	28,302	-33.8%
4	Utah Estimated	23,680	-17%
5	Washington Estimated	17,816	-21.4%
6	Colorado Estimated	15,559	-24.3%
7	New Jersey Estimated	13,857	-22.9%
8	Georgia Estimated	11,968	-61.6%
9	Minnesota Estimated	11,571	-41%
10	Virginia Estimated	10,661	-52.2%
11	Maryland Estimated	8,439	-40.2%
12	Nebraska Estimated	4,852	-41.1%
13	Massachusetts Estimated	4,821	-11.2%
14	Idaho Estimated	4,731	-32.6%
15	Alaska Estimated	4,029	-10.1%
16	Illinois Estimated	3,394	-85%
17	Hawaii Estimated	3,286	+23.9%
18	District of Columbia Estimated	2,694	-12%
19	North Dakota Estimated	2,179	-42.2%
20	Kansas Estimated	1,397	-83.2%
21	South Dakota Estimated	1,192	-68.3%
22	North Carolina Estimated	1,180	-92.6%
23	Nevada Estimated	980	-87.3%
24	Iowa Estimated	379	-93.9%
25	Louisiana Estimated	178	-97.6%
26	Wyoming Estimated	-54	-106%
27	Indiana Estimated	-253	-101.8%
28	Connecticut Estimated	-674	-186.3%
29	Delaware Estimated	-1,084	-832.4%
30	Vermont Estimated	-1,279	-60.3%
31	Rhode Island Estimated	-1,280	-5,465.2%
32	Montana Estimated	-1,420	-354.5%
33	New Hampshire Estimated	-1,662	-51.4%
34	Wisconsin Estimated	-2,022	-123.2%
35	Oregon Estimated	-2,234	-195.7%
36	Oklahoma Estimated	-3,252	-158.4%
37	New Mexico Estimated	-3,305	-219.8%
38	Maine Estimated	-4,541	-35.4%
39	Arizona Estimated	-4,671	-131%
40	Arkansas Estimated	-5,192	-307.7%
41	Mississippi Estimated	-6,615	-428.6%
42	Missouri Estimated	-6,627	-195.5%
43	Kentucky Estimated	-6,850	-332%
44	South Carolina Estimated	-9,170	-1,242%
45	Tennessee Estimated	-9,791	-248.3%
46	West Virginia Estimated	-10,448	-55.3%
47	Alabama Estimated	-11,810	-631.3%
48	Michigan Estimated	-12,510	-348.8%
49	Ohio Estimated	-18,790	-397.4%
50	Pennsylvania Estimated	-25,683	-169.1%
51	Florida Estimated	-42,010	-303.9%

Other periods

About this ranking

Estimated births minus deaths of residents from July 1 of the previous year through June 30 of the reported year. A negative value means more deaths than births.

Equals births_july_june minus deaths_july_june for the same place and year. Not a calendar-year figure.

Every value in the ranking comes from the same publisher and the same period, so the states are compared on one definition. Equal values share a rank.

How to cite

U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Citation styles

The publisher is the author. Invokely is named only as the place the figures were read, where a style asks for it.

APA 7

U.S. Census Bureau. (2026). Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021 (US states by natural change, July to June, 2021) [Data set]. Retrieved October 12, 2026, from https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html

MLA 9

Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, US states by natural change, July to June, 2021. U.S. Census Bureau, 26 Mar. 2026, https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/us-states?period=2021. Accessed 12 Oct. 2026.

Chicago (author-date)

U.S. Census Bureau. 2026. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. US states by natural change, July to June, 2021. Dataset. Accessed October 12, 2026. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Also distributed by Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/us-states?period=2021.

Harvard

U.S. Census Bureau (2026) Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, US states by natural change, July to June, 2021 [Dataset]. Available at: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html, via Invokely: https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/us-states?period=2021 (Accessed: 12 October 2026).

BibTeX

@misc{census_us_states_by_natural_2021,
  author = {{U.S. Census Bureau}},
  title = {{Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: US states by natural change, July to June, 2021}},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Data set},
  url = {https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html},
  urldate = {2026-10-12},
  note = {Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/us-states?period=2021. Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.},
}

RIS

TY  - DATA
AU  - U.S. Census Bureau
TI  - Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: US states by natural change, July to June, 2021
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/03/26
PB  - U.S. Census Bureau
DB  - Invokely
UR  - https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html
L2  - https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/us-states?period=2021
Y2  - 2026/10/12
N1  - Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/us-states?period=2021.
N1  - Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.
ER  -

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Questions

Which state has the highest natural change, July to June?

Texas, with 94,381 in 2021, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

Which state has the lowest natural change, July to June?

Florida, with -42,010 in 2021.

Where does this ranking come from?

Every value comes from one source and one period, so the places are comparable: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved 2026-10-12.