Expected annual loss from natural hazards (FEMA National Risk Index)

Average loss in US dollars that FEMA expects a US state or county to suffer each year from 18 natural hazards, adding building value, agriculture value and lives lost or injuries valued in dollars, from the National Risk Index. FEMA modelled it from historical hazard frequency, exposure and loss ratios.

A modelled estimate, not recorded losses. The December 2025 edition values buildings and agriculture in December 2024 dollars. The period is the year of the National Risk Index edition (the December 2025 edition is 2025), not a year of events. FEMA rebuilds the index with new data and methods in each edition, so values from different editions are not a time series. The index is meant for nationwide comparison and planning, not as a local risk assessment.

Key facts

Figures last updated on 2026-10-12.

Rankings

US states by expected annual loss from natural hazards (FEMA National Risk Index), 2025

Top 15. Source: Federal Emergency Management Agency.

California: 30,194,921,299 USDCalifornia30,194,921,299Texas: 12,347,225,288 USDTexas12,347,225,288Florida: 8,785,878,974 USDFlorida8,785,878,974Illinois: 6,410,338,020 USDIllinois6,410,338,020Washington: 4,688,943,879 USDWashington4,688,943,879North Carolina: 4,429,515,350 USDNorth Carolina4,429,515,350New York: 4,272,807,885 USDNew York4,272,807,885Pennsylvania: 4,069,174,295 USDPennsylvania4,069,174,295Missouri: 3,937,739,989 USDMissouri3,937,739,989Arizona: 3,600,033,951 USDArizona3,600,033,951Louisiana: 3,348,143,510 USDLouisiana3,348,143,510Georgia: 3,345,218,573 USDGeorgia3,345,218,573New Jersey: 3,215,449,865 USDNew Jersey3,215,449,865Ohio: 3,059,869,667 USDOhio3,059,869,667Tennessee: 3,004,306,362 USDTennessee3,004,306,362
USD. Source: FEMA National Risk Index, National Risk Index Counties and States, Expected Annual Loss Total Composite (EAL_VALT). Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Full ranking of states

Places with data

Published for regions and states, provinces and counties.

Regions and states

Provinces and counties

Use this data in your AI agent

Invokely serves this figure to AI assistants through MCP and to code through a REST API, with the source and citation attached. Ask your assistant:

Which places have the highest expected annual loss from natural hazards (FEMA National Risk Index)? Use official data and cite it.
rank_places {"indicator":"nri_expected_annual_loss","level":"region","within":"United States"}
GET https://invokely.ai/api/v1/rank?indicator=nri_expected_annual_loss&level=region&within=United%20States

Connect Claude, ChatGPT or Cursor in one step. The trial answers 25 calls a day without an account.