Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June

Davidson County had the highest natural change, July to June of 95 counties in 2023, at 4,252. Sullivan County had the lowest, at -1,039. The median was -69 and the figure for Tennessee was 2,059. Source: the U.S. Census Bureau.

Highest4,252Davidson County

Lowest-1,039Sullivan County

Median-6995 counties

Tennessee2,059History

Map of counties, 2023

Under -140
-140 to -60
-60 to 0
0 to 50
50 to 350
350 and over

persons, 2023. Red areas are below zero and blue areas above it. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files.

Top 40 counties, 2023

persons. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Full ranking

Rank	Counties	2023 persons	Change on 2022
1	Davidson County Estimated	4,252	+13.7%
2	Shelby County Estimated	2,784	+96.1%
3	Montgomery County Estimated	2,019	+10.7%
4	Rutherford County Estimated	1,941	+16.9%
5	Williamson County Estimated	711	+7.7%
6	Maury County Estimated	380	+484.6%
7	Wilson County Estimated	345	+41.4%
8	Hamilton County Estimated	308	+446.1%
9	Sumner County Estimated	284	+4,157.1%
10	Bedford County Estimated	168	+394.1%
11	Knox County Estimated	134	+117.4%
12	Marshall County Estimated	61	+245.2%
13	Macon County Estimated	47	+204.4%
14	Robertson County Estimated	40	+139.2%
15	Dickson County Estimated	27	+127.8%
16	Madison County Estimated	10	+105.6%
16	Trousdale County Estimated	10	+134.5%
18	Moore County Estimated	8	+122.2%
19	Perry County Estimated	3	+105.5%
20	Chester County Estimated	-2	+97.4%
21	Sequatchie County Estimated	-5	+91.1%
22	Haywood County Estimated	-14	+87.4%
23	DeKalb County Estimated	-15	+84.7%
24	Van Buren County Estimated	-18	+69.5%
25	Cannon County Estimated	-25	+41.9%
26	Lake County Estimated	-28	+62.2%
27	Lawrence County Estimated	-31	+78%
28	Houston County Estimated	-33	+55.4%
29	Bledsoe County Estimated	-36	+42.9%
30	Scott County Estimated	-41	+56.4%
31	Pickett County Estimated	-43	+10.4%
32	Warren County Estimated	-46	+56.2%
33	Hancock County Estimated	-47	+41.3%
34	Tipton County Estimated	-50	+75.6%
35	Lewis County Estimated	-53	+44.8%
36	Clay County Estimated	-54	+48.6%
37	Cheatham County Estimated	-55	+17.9%
38	Putnam County Estimated	-57	+61.7%
39	Carroll County Estimated	-59	+71.9%
39	Dyer County Estimated	-59	+67.9%
39	Stewart County Estimated	-59	+28.9%
42	Giles County Estimated	-61	+73.2%
43	Crockett County Estimated	-62	-19.2%
44	Fayette County Estimated	-64	+64.2%
45	Decatur County Estimated	-65	+46.7%
46	Grainger County Estimated	-68	+51.1%
46	Lauderdale County Estimated	-68	-6.3%
48	Smith County Estimated	-69	-30.2%
49	Grundy County Estimated	-74	-17.5%
50	Humphreys County Estimated	-75	+50.3%
51	Lincoln County Estimated	-80	+59%
52	Hardeman County Estimated	-84	+36.8%
53	Weakley County Estimated	-86	+55.2%
54	Benton County Estimated	-87	+50.3%
54	Jackson County Estimated	-87	-17.6%
54	Union County Estimated	-87	+25.6%
57	Coffee County Estimated	-91	+69.9%
57	Wayne County Estimated	-91	+34.5%
59	Meigs County Estimated	-93	-2.2%
60	Henderson County Estimated	-97	+30.7%
61	Overton County Estimated	-99	+43.4%
62	Hickman County Estimated	-103	+9.6%
63	Polk County Estimated	-116	+31.4%
64	Morgan County Estimated	-123	+30.9%
65	Gibson County Estimated	-124	+50%
65	Obion County Estimated	-124	+28.7%
67	Rhea County Estimated	-125	+32.8%
68	Bradley County Estimated	-134	+58.9%
69	White County Estimated	-139	+30.2%
70	Johnson County Estimated	-144	+20.9%
71	Hamblen County Estimated	-145	+58.2%
72	Hardin County Estimated	-153	+34.9%
73	Franklin County Estimated	-154	+23.8%
74	McMinn County Estimated	-155	+60.3%
75	Sevier County Estimated	-159	+63%
76	Unicoi County Estimated	-160	+25.6%
77	Fentress County Estimated	-164	+14.1%
78	Marion County Estimated	-166	+12.6%
79	Claiborne County Estimated	-177	+35.6%
80	McNairy County Estimated	-179	+12.3%
81	Loudon County Estimated	-211	+44.2%
82	Henry County Estimated	-218	+32.3%
83	Monroe County Estimated	-246	+19.6%
84	Jefferson County Estimated	-286	+19%
85	Campbell County Estimated	-294	+19%
86	Cocke County Estimated	-312	+29.1%
87	Anderson County Estimated	-313	+30.3%
88	Roane County Estimated	-376	+11.7%
89	Hawkins County Estimated	-434	+21.1%
90	Carter County Estimated	-441	+21.1%
91	Washington County Estimated	-506	+22.7%
92	Greene County Estimated	-543	+21%
93	Blount County Estimated	-545	+21.7%
94	Cumberland County Estimated	-547	+21.1%
95	Sullivan County Estimated	-1,039	+17.1%

Other periods

About this ranking

Estimated births minus deaths of residents from July 1 of the previous year through June 30 of the reported year. A negative value means more deaths than births.

Equals births_july_june minus deaths_july_june for the same place and year. Not a calendar-year figure.

Every value in the ranking comes from the same publisher and the same period, so the counties are compared on one definition. Equal values share a rank.

How to cite

U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Citation styles

The publisher is the author. Invokely is named only as the place the figures were read, where a style asks for it.

APA 7

U.S. Census Bureau. (2026). Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021 (Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2023) [Data set]. Retrieved October 12, 2026, from https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html

MLA 9

Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2023. U.S. Census Bureau, 26 Mar. 2026, https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2023. Accessed 12 Oct. 2026.

Chicago (author-date)

U.S. Census Bureau. 2026. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2023. Dataset. Accessed October 12, 2026. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Also distributed by Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2023.

Harvard

U.S. Census Bureau (2026) Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2023 [Dataset]. Available at: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html, via Invokely: https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2023 (Accessed: 12 October 2026).

BibTeX

@misc{census_counties_in_tennessee_by_2023,
  author = {{U.S. Census Bureau}},
  title = {{Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2023}},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Data set},
  url = {https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html},
  urldate = {2026-10-12},
  note = {Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2023. Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.},
}

RIS

TY  - DATA
AU  - U.S. Census Bureau
TI  - Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2023
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/03/26
PB  - U.S. Census Bureau
DB  - Invokely
UR  - https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html
L2  - https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2023
Y2  - 2026/10/12
N1  - Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2023.
N1  - Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.
ER  -

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Questions

Which county has the highest natural change, July to June?

Davidson County, with 4,252 in 2023, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

Which county has the lowest natural change, July to June?

Sullivan County, with -1,039 in 2023.

Where does this ranking come from?

Every value comes from one source and one period, so the places are comparable: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved 2026-10-12.