Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June
Davidson County had the highest natural change, July to June of 95 counties in 2021, at 2,871. Sullivan County had the lowest, at -1,178. The median was -122 and the figure for Tennessee was -9,791. Source: the U.S. Census Bureau.
Map of counties, 2021
- Under -190
- -190 to -100
- -100 to 0
- 0 to 250
- 250 to 1,300
- 1,300 and over
Top 40 counties, 2021
Full ranking
| Rank | Counties | 2021 | Change on 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davidson County Estimated | 2,871 | -29.5% |
| 2 | Montgomery County Estimated | 1,618 | -19.1% |
| 3 | Rutherford County Estimated | 1,279 | -33.8% |
| 4 | Shelby County Estimated | 1,263 | -65.2% |
| 5 | Williamson County Estimated | 518 | -36% |
| 6 | Wilson County Estimated | 118 | -66.9% |
| 7 | Maury County Estimated | 90 | -26.8% |
| 8 | Bedford County Estimated | 53 | -70.1% |
| 9 | Sequatchie County Estimated | -24 | -140% |
| 10 | Perry County Estimated | -26 | |
| 11 | Moore County Estimated | -29 | -383.3% |
| 12 | Trousdale County Estimated | -32 | -176.2% |
| 13 | Marshall County Estimated | -35 | -194.6% |
| 14 | Cannon County Estimated | -38 | -575% |
| 15 | Hancock County Estimated | -40 | -33.3% |
| 16 | Sumner County Estimated | -49 | -116.4% |
| 17 | Van Buren County Estimated | -56 | -5,700% |
| 18 | Bledsoe County Estimated | -57 | -18.8% |
| 19 | DeKalb County Estimated | -60 | -46.3% |
| 20 | Pickett County Estimated | -62 | -181.8% |
| 21 | Macon County Estimated | -68 | -233.3% |
| 21 | Smith County Estimated | -68 | -172% |
| 23 | Houston County Estimated | -69 | -130% |
| 24 | Crockett County Estimated | -70 | -250% |
| 24 | Lake County Estimated | -70 | -118.8% |
| 26 | Clay County Estimated | -72 | -50% |
| 27 | Stewart County Estimated | -77 | -57.1% |
| 28 | Grundy County Estimated | -79 | -132.4% |
| 29 | Chester County Estimated | -80 | -2,566.7% |
| 29 | Tipton County Estimated | -80 | -316.2% |
| 31 | Dickson County Estimated | -81 | -228.6% |
| 32 | Robertson County Estimated | -85 | -151.2% |
| 33 | Lewis County Estimated | -88 | -214.3% |
| 34 | Lawrence County Estimated | -92 | |
| 35 | Meigs County Estimated | -97 | -79.6% |
| 35 | Scott County Estimated | -97 | -136.6% |
| 37 | Lauderdale County Estimated | -98 | -476.5% |
| 38 | Cheatham County Estimated | -108 | -871.4% |
| 38 | Madison County Estimated | -108 | -164.3% |
| 40 | Henderson County Estimated | -110 | -69.2% |
| 40 | Wayne County Estimated | -110 | -17% |
| 42 | Hamilton County Estimated | -111 | -144.8% |
| 43 | Coffee County Estimated | -113 | -727.8% |
| 44 | Morgan County Estimated | -115 | -53.3% |
| 45 | Jackson County Estimated | -116 | -28.9% |
| 46 | Haywood County Estimated | -117 | -160% |
| 47 | Union County Estimated | -119 | -376% |
| 48 | Humphreys County Estimated | -122 | -144% |
| 49 | Hickman County Estimated | -129 | -486.4% |
| 50 | Decatur County Estimated | -130 | -68.8% |
| 51 | Hardeman County Estimated | -132 | -46.7% |
| 52 | Dyer County Estimated | -138 | -187.5% |
| 53 | Fayette County Estimated | -140 | -66.7% |
| 54 | Weakley County Estimated | -143 | -74.4% |
| 55 | Johnson County Estimated | -152 | -40.7% |
| 56 | Warren County Estimated | -161 | -1,241.7% |
| 56 | White County Estimated | -161 | -91.7% |
| 58 | Marion County Estimated | -162 | -153.1% |
| 59 | Fentress County Estimated | -163 | -79.1% |
| 60 | Overton County Estimated | -170 | -77.1% |
| 61 | McNairy County Estimated | -172 | -34.4% |
| 62 | Polk County Estimated | -179 | -79% |
| 63 | Benton County Estimated | -181 | -86.6% |
| 64 | Lincoln County Estimated | -187 | -175% |
| 64 | Rhea County Estimated | -187 | -281.6% |
| 66 | Grainger County Estimated | -194 | -145.6% |
| 66 | Loudon County Estimated | -194 | +2.5% |
| 68 | Carroll County Estimated | -218 | -100% |
| 69 | Putnam County Estimated | -220 | -428.4% |
| 70 | Giles County Estimated | -222 | -94.7% |
| 71 | Claiborne County Estimated | -236 | -87.3% |
| 72 | Obion County Estimated | -243 | -155.8% |
| 73 | Hardin County Estimated | -248 | -45.9% |
| 74 | Franklin County Estimated | -255 | -142.9% |
| 74 | Unicoi County Estimated | -255 | -82.1% |
| 76 | Campbell County Estimated | -265 | -41.7% |
| 77 | McMinn County Estimated | -278 | -91.7% |
| 78 | Monroe County Estimated | -282 | -127.4% |
| 79 | Henry County Estimated | -285 | -29.5% |
| 80 | Jefferson County Estimated | -315 | -31.8% |
| 81 | Cocke County Estimated | -324 | -56.5% |
| 82 | Sevier County Estimated | -348 | -231.4% |
| 83 | Bradley County Estimated | -380 | -1,620% |
| 84 | Gibson County Estimated | -404 | -180.6% |
| 85 | Hamblen County Estimated | -407 | -846.5% |
| 86 | Roane County Estimated | -411 | -20.9% |
| 87 | Anderson County Estimated | -426 | -126.6% |
| 88 | Carter County Estimated | -475 | -23.7% |
| 89 | Hawkins County Estimated | -546 | -73.3% |
| 90 | Greene County Estimated | -589 | -59.2% |
| 91 | Blount County Estimated | -590 | -128.7% |
| 92 | Knox County Estimated | -598 | -341.1% |
| 93 | Cumberland County Estimated | -681 | -79.7% |
| 94 | Washington County Estimated | -719 | -167.3% |
| 95 | Sullivan County Estimated | -1,178 | -80.4% |
Other periods
About this ranking
Estimated births minus deaths of residents from July 1 of the previous year through June 30 of the reported year. A negative value means more deaths than births.
Equals births_july_june minus deaths_july_june for the same place and year. Not a calendar-year figure.
Every value in the ranking comes from the same publisher and the same period, so the counties are compared on one definition. Equal values share a rank.
How to cite
U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.Citation styles
APA 7
U.S. Census Bureau. (2026). Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021 (Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2021) [Data set]. Retrieved October 12, 2026, from https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html
MLA 9
Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2021. U.S. Census Bureau, 26 Mar. 2026, https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2021. Accessed 12 Oct. 2026.
Chicago (author-date)
U.S. Census Bureau. 2026. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2021. Dataset. Accessed October 12, 2026. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Also distributed by Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2021.
Harvard
U.S. Census Bureau (2026) Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2021 [Dataset]. Available at: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html, via Invokely: https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2021 (Accessed: 12 October 2026).
BibTeX
@misc{census_counties_in_tennessee_by_2021,
author = {{U.S. Census Bureau}},
title = {{Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2021}},
year = {2026},
howpublished = {Data set},
url = {https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html},
urldate = {2026-10-12},
note = {Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2021. Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.},
}
RIS
TY - DATA
AU - U.S. Census Bureau
TI - Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June, 2021
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/03/26
PB - U.S. Census Bureau
DB - Invokely
UR - https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html
L2 - https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2021
Y2 - 2026/10/12
N1 - Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/rankings/natural-change-july-june/tennessee-counties?period=2021.
N1 - Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.
ER -
Use this data in your AI agent
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Rank Counties in Tennessee by natural change, July to June using official data, and cite the source.
rank_places {"indicator":"natural_change_july_june","level":"province","within":"Tennessee","limit":10}
GET https://invokely.ai/api/v1/rank?indicator=natural_change_july_june&level=province&within=Tennessee&limit=10Questions
Which county has the highest natural change, July to June?
Davidson County, with 2,871 in 2021, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
Which county has the lowest natural change, July to June?
Sullivan County, with -1,178 in 2021.
Where does this ranking come from?
Every value comes from one source and one period, so the places are comparable: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved 2026-10-12.
Natural change, July to June: other rankings
Counties in Tennessee: more rankings
- Population
- Bachelor's degree or higher, population 25 and over
- Foreign-born population share
- White (non-Hispanic) population share
- Labor force participation rate (US five-year survey estimate)
- Fair Market Rent, efficiency (HUD, monthly)
- Uninsured rate, 65 and over (US, ACS)
- Housing units authorized by building permits