Natural change, July to June in Shelby County

Natural change, July to June in Shelby County was 2,750 in 2025, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That is up 4.8% from 2024. That is the 2nd highest of 95 counties in 2025.

2025, persons2,750 Estimated
Change on 2024+4.8%
Series high6,6362012
Series low1,2632021

Next release: Friday, 26 March 2027, estimated by Invokely from past publication dates (low confidence), not announced by the publisher. Release calendar

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Natural change, July to June in Shelby County, 2011 to 2025

02,0004,0006,0008,000201120142017202020252011: 6,199 persons2012: 6,636 persons2013: 5,824 persons2014: 6,009 persons2015: 5,644 persons2016: 5,367 persons2017: 4,941 persons2018: 4,828 persons2019: 4,288 persons2020: 3,628 persons2021: 1,263 persons2022: 1,420 persons2023: 2,784 persons2024: 2,623 persons2025: 2,750 persons02,0004,0006,0008,00020112016202120252011: 6,199 persons2012: 6,636 persons2013: 5,824 persons2014: 6,009 persons2015: 5,644 persons2016: 5,367 persons2017: 4,941 persons2018: 4,828 persons2019: 4,288 persons2020: 3,628 persons2021: 1,263 persons2022: 1,420 persons2023: 2,784 persons2024: 2,623 persons2025: 2,750 persons
persons. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved 2026-10-12, published 2026-03-26.
All 15 values
Periodpersons
20252,750 Estimated
20242,623 Estimated
20232,784 Estimated
20221,420 Estimated
20211,263 Estimated
20203,628 Estimated
20194,288 Estimated
20184,828 Estimated
20174,941 Estimated
20165,367 Estimated
20155,644 Estimated
20146,009 Estimated
20135,824 Estimated
20126,636 Estimated
20116,199 Estimated

Compared with Tennessee and United States

Place2025
Shelby County2,750
Tennessee3,597
United States518,858

Shelby County compared with nearby places

Anderson County: -229 personsBedford County: 181 personsBenton County: -132 personsBledsoe County: -57 personsBlount County: -551 personsBradley County: -112 personsCampbell County: -244 personsCannon County: -19 personsCarroll County: -67 personsCarter County: -399 personsCheatham County: -19 personsChester County: 1 personsClaiborne County: -164 personsClay County: -74 personsCocke County: -329 personsCoffee County: -34 personsCrockett County: -47 personsCumberland County: -542 personsDavidson County: 4,335 personsDecatur County: -98 personsDeKalb County: -38 personsDickson County: 51 personsDyer County: -45 personsFayette County: -82 personsFentress County: -160 personsFranklin County: -151 personsGibson County: -116 personsGiles County: -92 personsGrainger County: -92 personsGreene County: -516 personsGrundy County: -75 personsHamblen County: -128 personsHamilton County: 474 personsHancock County: -45 personsHardeman County: -96 personsHardin County: -83 personsHawkins County: -356 personsHaywood County: -20 personsHenderson County: -105 personsHenry County: -202 personsHickman County: -69 personsHouston County: -51 personsHumphreys County: -86 personsJackson County: -68 personsJefferson County: -229 personsJohnson County: -119 personsKnox County: 163 personsLake County: -63 personsLauderdale County: -99 personsLawrence County: 4 personsLewis County: -58 personsLincoln County: -27 personsLoudon County: -175 personsMcMinn County: -237 personsMcNairy County: -145 personsMacon County: 53 personsMadison County: 14 personsMarion County: -180 personsMarshall County: 43 personsMaury County: 515 personsMeigs County: -73 personsMonroe County: -172 personsMontgomery County: 2,047 personsMoore County: 10 personsMorgan County: -103 personsObion County: -135 personsOverton County: -96 personsPerry County: -5 personsPickett County: -46 personsPolk County: -83 personsPutnam County: -63 personsRhea County: -149 personsRoane County: -358 personsRobertson County: 144 personsRutherford County: 2,108 personsScott County: -35 personsSequatchie County: -36 personsSevier County: -131 personsShelby County: 2,750 personsSmith County: -33 personsStewart County: -66 personsSullivan County: -873 personsSumner County: 387 personsTipton County: -24 personsTrousdale County: -3 personsUnicoi County: -144 personsUnion County: -62 personsVan Buren County: -24 personsWarren County: -69 personsWashington County: -459 personsWayne County: -62 personsWeakley County: -125 personsWhite County: -118 personsWilliamson County: 551 personsWilson County: 438 persons
  • Under -130
  • -130 to -70
  • -70 to 0
  • 0 to 50
  • 50 to 470
  • 470 and over
Natural change, July to June, 2025, persons. Shelby County is outlined. Same source and period for every area shown. Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary files.

Rankings

Definition

Estimated births minus deaths of residents from July 1 of the previous year through June 30 of the reported year. A negative value means more deaths than births.

Equals births_july_june minus deaths_july_june for the same place and year. Not a calendar-year figure.

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How to cite

U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Citation styles

The publisher is the author. Invokely is named only as the place the figures were read, where a style asks for it.

APA 7

U.S. Census Bureau. (2026). Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021 (Natural change, July to June, Shelby County, 2011 to 2025) [Data set]. Retrieved October 12, 2026, from https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html

MLA 9

Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, Natural change, July to June, Shelby County, 2011 to 2025. U.S. Census Bureau, 26 Mar. 2026, https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Invokely, https://invokely.ai/en/natural-change-july-june/shelby-county-tennessee. Accessed 12 Oct. 2026.

Chicago (author-date)

U.S. Census Bureau. 2026. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Natural change, July to June, Shelby County, 2011 to 2025. Dataset. Accessed October 12, 2026. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Also distributed by Invokely, https://invokely.ai/en/natural-change-july-june/shelby-county-tennessee.

Harvard

U.S. Census Bureau (2026) Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021, Natural change, July to June, Shelby County, 2011 to 2025 [Dataset]. Available at: https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html, via Invokely: https://invokely.ai/en/natural-change-july-june/shelby-county-tennessee (Accessed: 12 October 2026).

BibTeX
@misc{census_natural_change_july_to_2025,
  author = {{U.S. Census Bureau}},
  title = {{Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: Natural change, July to June, Shelby County, 2011 to 2025}},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Data set},
  url = {https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html},
  urldate = {2026-10-12},
  note = {Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/en/natural-change-july-june/shelby-county-tennessee. Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.},
}
RIS
TY  - DATA
AU  - U.S. Census Bureau
TI  - Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021: Natural change, July to June, Shelby County, 2011 to 2025
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/03/26
PB  - U.S. Census Bureau
DB  - Invokely
UR  - https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html
L2  - https://invokely.ai/en/natural-change-july-june/shelby-county-tennessee
Y2  - 2026/10/12
N1  - Accessed via Invokely, https://invokely.ai/en/natural-change-july-june/shelby-county-tennessee.
N1  - Publisher attribution: U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/data/data-sets.html. Retrieved 2026-10-12.
ER  - 
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Questions

What is the natural change, July to June in Shelby County?

Natural change, July to June in Shelby County was 2,750 in 2025, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That is up 4.8% from 2024. That is the 2nd highest of 95 counties in 2025.

Where does this figure come from?

U.S. Census Bureau. Population Estimates Program: natural change (births minus deaths), July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the reported year; vintage 2020 files for 2011 to 2020 and the latest 2020s vintage from 2021. Retrieved by Invokely on 2026-10-12.

What was the highest natural change, July to June in Shelby County?

6,636 in 2012, the highest value since 2011 in this series.

Related statistics for Shelby County

All statistics for Shelby County | Shelby County in figures