Consumers' expected inflation, one year ahead (median)
Median inflation rate that US consumers expect over the next 12 months, in percent, from the answers to the survey month. Each respondent gives a probability distribution over future inflation; the figure is the median, across respondents, of the mean of each distribution (the separate point forecasts are not used).
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Survey of Consumer Expectations, a monthly online survey of a rotating panel of about 1,300 US household heads. The median of the answers, so half of respondents expect more and half less. These are what consumers expect, not a forecast by the New York Fed. The New York Fed does not endorse this use of the data.
Key facts
- Consumers' expected inflation, one year ahead (median) in the United States was 3.9% in September 2026, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Published for 1 places, with figures from June 2013 to September 2026.
Places with data
Countries
Use this data in your AI agent
Invokely serves this figure to AI assistants through MCP and to code through a REST API, with the source and citation attached. Ask your assistant:
Which places have the highest consumers' expected inflation, one year ahead (median)? Use official data and cite it.
rank_places {"indicator":"expected_inflation_1y_median","level":"country"}
GET https://invokely.ai/api/v1/rank?indicator=expected_inflation_1y_median&level=country