Private non-financial credit-to-GDP gap

Difference in percentage points between private non-financial credit as a share of GDP and its long-run trend, estimated by the BIS with a one-sided, backward-looking Hodrick-Prescott filter. A level difference, not a percentage change.

BIS estimate. Can differ from the credit gap used by national authorities. It supports risk analysis; it is not an automatic lending or policy threshold.

Key facts

Figures last updated on 2026-10-12.

Rankings

Countries by private non-financial credit-to-GDP gap, Q1 2026

Top 15. Source: Bank for International Settlements.

Saudi Arabia: 6.7 percentage pointsSaudi Arabia6.7Japan: 5.67 percentage pointsJapan5.67India: 4.32 percentage pointsIndia4.32Israel: 3.6 percentage pointsIsrael3.6Argentina: 2.69 percentage pointsArgentina2.69Brazil: 0.72 percentage pointsBrazil0.72Indonesia: -1.33 percentage pointsIndonesia-1.33Malaysia: -2.78 percentage pointsMalaysia-2.78Mexico: -3.08 percentage pointsMexico-3.08Czechia: -3.53 percentage pointsCzechia-3.53Germany: -4.18 percentage pointsGermany-4.18South Africa: -4.25 percentage pointsSouth Africa-4.25China: -5.14 percentage pointsChina-5.14Colombia: -7.67 percentage pointsColombia-7.67New Zealand: -7.72 percentage pointsNew Zealand-7.72
percentage points. Source: BIS, BIS WS_CREDIT_GAP: P.A.C, quarterly, private nonfinancial credit gap. Retrieved 2026-10-12.

Full ranking of countries

Places with data

Published for countries.

Countries

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